Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.002712 0.002899 0.003101 0.003337 0.003608 0.003910 0.004278
2024-12-22 0.002465 0.002724 0.003022 0.003395 0.003859 0.004431 0.005212
2024-12-29 0.002299 0.002603 0.002969 0.003454 0.004102 0.004973 0.006308
2025-01-05 0.002124 0.002444 0.002841 0.003390 0.004160 0.005271 0.007152
2025-01-12 0.001965 0.002286 0.002693 0.003272 0.004116 0.005400 0.007765
2025-01-19 0.001873 0.002203 0.002633 0.003260 0.004217 0.005761 0.008912
2025-01-26 0.001722 0.002034 0.002441 0.003043 0.003974 0.005510 0.008767
2025-02-02 0.001672 0.001993 0.002420 0.003069 0.004109 0.005930 0.010237
2025-02-09 0.001650 0.001987 0.002447 0.003164 0.004370 0.006642 0.012912
2025-02-16 0.001606 0.001948 0.002422 0.003178 0.004492 0.007117 0.015404
2025-02-23 0.001595 0.001954 0.002461 0.003296 0.004817 0.008133 0.021365
2025-03-02 0.001542 0.001898 0.002405 0.003251 0.004828 0.008423 0.024858
2025-03-09 0.001482 0.001832 0.002335 0.003185 0.004808 0.008675 0.029350
2025-03-16 0.001458 0.001817 0.002342 0.003253 0.005073 0.009839 0.048245
2025-03-23 0.001434 0.001800 0.002345 0.003314 0.005336 0.011187 0.102381
2025-03-30 0.001386 0.001746 0.002286 0.003256 0.005325 0.011622 0.181353
2025-04-06 0.001331 0.001679 0.002202 0.003146 0.005179 0.011496 0.247465
2025-04-13 0.001300 0.001647 0.002172 0.003136 0.005266 0.012358 30.957949
2025-04-20 0.001231 0.001556 0.002045 0.002934 0.004864 0.011016 0.408453
2025-04-27 0.001213 0.001540 0.002037 0.002957 0.005020 0.012155 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001208 0.001544 0.002063 0.003047 0.005359 0.014505 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001189 0.001525 0.002051 0.003060 0.005503 0.016082 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001188 0.001535 0.002085 0.003169 0.005943 0.020405 NaN